Welterweight
3 Rounds
Johny Hendricks won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 16, 2013·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Style matchupCarlos Condit: Elusive strikervsJohny Hendricks: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Johny Hendricks wins(65.4%)
Actual result: Johny Hendricks wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Johny Hendricks has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Johny Hendricks (53.5%).
- Carlos Condit has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Carlos Condit
Red Corner
VS
Johny Hendricks
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carlos Condit
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Alex Oliveira · Apr 18L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 18W
vs Court McGee · Oct 20W
vs Matt Brown · Jan 21L
vs Max Griffin · Jul 21Johny HendricksL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jul 16L
vs Neil Magny · Dec 16W
vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Nov 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carlos ConditMetricJohny Hendricks
3.66
Strikes / min
3.49
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
3.99
55%
Strike defense
53%
0.59
TDs / 15 min
3.83
38%
Takedown defense
63%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.99Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap-0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Carlos ConditJohny Hendricks
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carlos Condit(10 fights)Johny Hendricks(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-55.455.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Carlos Condit
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17
Johny Hendricks
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights19