Welterweight
3 Rounds
Max Griffin won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 10, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCarlos Condit: Elusive strikervsMax Griffin: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Max Griffin wins(70.0%)
Actual result: Max Griffin wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Max Griffin has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Carlos Condit
Red Corner
VS
Max Griffin
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
42
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carlos ConditW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Neil Magny · Dec 17L
SUBvs Alex Oliveira · Apr 18L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 18W
vs Court McGee · Oct 20W
vs Matt Brown · Jan 21Max GriffinL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tim Means · Oct 22L
vs Michael Morales · Jul 23W
vs Jeremiah Wells · Feb 24L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 24L
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carlos ConditMetricMax Griffin
3.66
Strikes / min
3.70
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
3.69
55%
Strike defense
58%
0.59
TDs / 15 min
1.44
38%
Takedown defense
69%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.99evenly matched on net striking+0.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Carlos ConditMax Griffin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carlos Condit(10 fights)Max Griffin(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.3-13.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Carlos Condit
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17
Max Griffin
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18