Welterweight
3 Rounds
Neil Magny won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 30, 2017·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCarlos Condit: Elusive strikervsNeil Magny: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Neil Magny wins(66.9%)
Actual result: Neil Magny wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Neil Magny has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Neil Magny has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Carlos Condit
Red Corner
VS
Neil Magny
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
42
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carlos Condit
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Alex Oliveira · Apr 18L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 18W
vs Court McGee · Oct 20W
vs Matt Brown · Jan 21L
vs Max Griffin · Jul 21Neil Magny
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carlos ConditMetricNeil Magny
3.66
Strikes / min
3.40
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
55%
Strike defense
51%
0.59
TDs / 15 min
2.17
38%
Takedown defense
55%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.99evenly matched on net striking+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Carlos ConditNeil Magny
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carlos Condit(10 fights)Neil Magny(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-82.782.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+378.0-378.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Carlos Condit
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17
Neil Magny
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights37