Welterweight
3 Rounds
Tyron Woodley won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 15, 2014·Dallas, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Tyron Woodley wins(64.8%)
Actual result: Tyron Woodley wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Tyron Woodley has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Carlos Condit
Red Corner
VS
Tyron Woodley
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
42
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carlos Condit
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Alex Oliveira · Apr 18L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 18W
vs Court McGee · Oct 20W
vs Matt Brown · Jan 21L
vs Max Griffin · Jul 21Tyron WoodleyL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 18L
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 19L
vs Gilbert Burns · May 20L
KOvs Colby Covington · Sep 20L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Mar 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carlos ConditMetricTyron Woodley
3.66
Strikes / min
2.36
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
2.76
55%
Strike defense
54%
0.59
TDs / 15 min
1.06
38%
Takedown defense
87%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.99Δ 1.39 — meaningful gap-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Carlos ConditTyron Woodley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carlos Condit(10 fights)Tyron Woodley(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.3-36.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+80.0-80.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Carlos Condit
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17
Tyron Woodley
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights15