Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Carlos Felipe won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 12, 2021·Glendale, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupCarlos Felipe: Pressure fightervsJake Collier: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Carlos Felipe wins(63.3%)
Actual result: Carlos Felipe wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Collier enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Carlos Felipe
Red Corner
VS
Jake Collier
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
31
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carlos Felipe
oldest →latest
L
vs Serghei Spivac · Jul 20W
vs Yorgan De Castro · Oct 20W
vs Justin Tafa · Jan 21L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Oct 21Jake CollierL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Chase Sherman · Jan 22L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Apr 22L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Sep 22L
vs Martin Buday · Apr 23L
vs Mohammed Usman · Sep 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carlos FelipeMetricJake Collier
4.88
Strikes / min
5.80
5.60
Strikes absorbed / min
5.08
50%
Strike defense
50%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.71
72%
Takedown defense
67%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.72Δ 1.44 — meaningful gap+0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Carlos FelipeJake Collier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carlos Felipe(5 fights)Jake Collier(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.8-12.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Carlos Felipe
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights5
Jake Collier
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights14