Flyweight
3 Rounds
Carlos Hernandez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 17, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCarlos Hernandez: Well-roundedvsDenys Bondar: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Carlos Hernandez wins(52.6%)
Actual result: Carlos Hernandez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Carlos Hernandez
Red Corner
VS
Denys Bondar
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-142
(59%)
32
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carlos Hernandez
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Jan 23L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 23L
vs Rei Tsuruya · Jun 24W
vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Nov 24L
SUBvs HyunSung Park · May 25Denys BondarL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Malcolm Gordon · Feb 22L
SUBvs Ronaldo Rodriguez · Feb 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carlos HernandezMetricDenys Bondar
3.83
Strikes / min
4.59
3.50
Strikes absorbed / min
5.16
50%
Strike defense
56%
1.56
TDs / 15 min
3.99
65%
Takedown defense
62%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.33evenly matched on net striking-0.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Carlos HernandezDenys Bondar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carlos Hernandez(7 fights)Denys Bondar(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.9-15.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-343.0343.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Carlos Hernandez
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights7
Denys Bondar
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3