Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Carlos Ulberg won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 12, 2022·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Carlos Ulberg wins(63.8%)
Actual result: Carlos Ulberg wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carlos Ulberg enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Carlos Ulberg has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Carlos Ulberg has 85pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Fabio Cherant (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Carlos Ulberg
Red Corner
VS
Fabio Cherant
Blue Corner
-265
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
35
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'4"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carlos UlbergW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Da Woon Jung · Sep 23W
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · May 24W
vs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 24W
vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 25W
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Sep 25Fabio CherantL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Alonzo Menifield · Mar 21L
KOvs William Knight · Aug 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carlos UlbergMetricFabio Cherant
6.57
Strikes / min
1.35
4.03
Strikes absorbed / min
4.89
51%
Strike defense
38%
0.53
TDs / 15 min
0.00
85%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.54Δ 6.08 — meaningful gap-3.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Carlos UlbergFabio Cherant
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carlos Ulberg(10 fights)Fabio Cherant(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.3-15.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+168.0-168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Carlos Ulberg
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights10
Fabio Cherant
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3