Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Carlos Ulberg won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 13, 2023·Charlotte, North Carolina, USA, USA
Style matchupCarlos Ulberg: Pressure fightervsIhor Potieria: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Carlos Ulberg wins(68.2%)
Actual result: Carlos Ulberg wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carlos Ulberg enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Ihor Potieria enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Carlos Ulberg is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Ihor Potieria has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Carlos Ulberg has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ihor Potieria (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Carlos Ulberg
Red Corner
VS
Ihor Potieria
Blue Corner
-490
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+380
(21%)
35
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'4"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carlos UlbergW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Da Woon Jung · Sep 23W
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · May 24W
vs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 24W
vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 25W
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Sep 25Ihor PotieriaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rodolfo Bellato · Dec 23W
vs Robert Bryczek · Feb 24L
SUBvs Michel Pereira · May 24L
vs Cesar Almeida · Oct 24L
KOvs Marco Tulio · Jan 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carlos UlbergMetricIhor Potieria
6.57
Strikes / min
4.44
4.03
Strikes absorbed / min
4.96
51%
Strike defense
50%
0.53
TDs / 15 min
0.73
85%
Takedown defense
66%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.54Δ 3.06 — meaningful gap-0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Carlos UlbergIhor Potieria
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carlos Ulberg(10 fights)Ihor Potieria(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.1-30.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Carlos Ulberg
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights10
Ihor Potieria
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8