Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Carlos Ulberg won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 25, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCarlos Ulberg: Pressure fightervsTafon Nchukwi: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Carlos Ulberg wins(54.6%)
Actual result: Carlos Ulberg wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carlos Ulberg enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Carlos Ulberg is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Tafon Nchukwi has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Carlos Ulberg has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Carlos Ulberg
Red Corner
VS
Tafon Nchukwi
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
35
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'0"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carlos UlbergW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Da Woon Jung · Sep 23W
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · May 24W
vs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 24W
vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 25W
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Sep 25Tafon NchukwiL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jamie Pickett · Dec 20L
vs Junyong Park · May 21W
vs Mike Rodriguez · Sep 21L
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Mar 22L
vs AJ Dobson · Aug 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carlos UlbergMetricTafon Nchukwi
6.57
Strikes / min
5.57
4.03
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
51%
Strike defense
54%
0.53
TDs / 15 min
0.76
85%
Takedown defense
64%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.54Δ 1.08 — meaningful gap+1.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Carlos UlbergTafon Nchukwi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carlos Ulberg(10 fights)Tafon Nchukwi(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.3-2.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Carlos Ulberg
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights10
Tafon Nchukwi
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights6