Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Alex Perez won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 9, 2017·Fresno, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Carls John De Tomas wins(51.0%)
Actual result: Alex Perez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Perez has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Carls John De Tomas (53.5%).
- Carls John De Tomas has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Carls John De Tomas
Red Corner
VS
Alex Perez
Blue Corner
+335
(23%)
Vegas Odds
-420
(81%)
29
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carls John De Tomas
oldest →latest
L
vs Naoki Inoue · Jun 17Alex Perez
oldest →latest
L
vs Muhammad Mokaev · Mar 24W
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Apr 24L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Jun 24L
SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Nov 25W
KOvs Charles Johnson · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carls John De TomasMetricAlex Perez
1.74
Strikes / min
4.41
3.93
Strikes absorbed / min
3.20
44%
Strike defense
59%
1.37
TDs / 15 min
2.21
66%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.19Δ 3.40 — meaningful gap+1.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Carls John De TomasAlex Perez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carls John De Tomas(2 fights)Alex Perez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.016.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Carls John De Tomas
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2
Alex Perez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights14