Welterweight
3 Rounds
Matthew Semelsberger won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, August 22, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Matthew Semelsberger wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Matthew Semelsberger wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matthew Semelsberger enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Carlton Minus
Red Corner
VS
Matthew Semelsberger
Blue Corner
-118
(54%)
Vegas Odds
-106
(51%)
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carlton Minus
oldest →latest
L
vs Christos Giagos · Dec 20Matthew SemelsbergerL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Matthews · Dec 22L
vs Jeremiah Wells · Apr 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Jul 23L
vs Preston Parsons · Jan 24L
KOvs Charles Radtke · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carlton MinusMetricMatthew Semelsberger
3.50
Strikes / min
3.77
4.97
Strikes absorbed / min
4.24
50%
Strike defense
54%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.01
58%
Takedown defense
45%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.47evenly matched on net striking-0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Carlton MinusMatthew Semelsberger
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carlton Minus(2 fights)Matthew Semelsberger(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Carlton Minus
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights2
Matthew Semelsberger
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11