Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Merab Dvalishvili won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 15, 2020·Rio Rancho, New Mexico, USA, USA
Style matchupCasey Kenney: Pressure fightervsMerab Dvalishvili: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Merab Dvalishvili wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Merab Dvalishvili wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Merab Dvalishvili has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Casey Kenney (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Casey Kenney
Red Corner
VS
Merab Dvalishvili
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
35
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Casey KenneyL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Louis Smolka · May 20W
vs Heili Alateng · Oct 20W
vs Nathaniel Wood · Oct 20L
vs Dominick Cruz · Mar 21L
vs Song Yadong · Aug 21Merab Dvalishvili
oldest →latest
W
vs Sean O'Malley · Sep 24W
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 25W
SUBvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 25W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Oct 25L
vs Petr Yan · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Casey KenneyMetricMerab Dvalishvili
4.85
Strikes / min
4.42
4.67
Strikes absorbed / min
2.80
58%
Strike defense
54%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
5.97
61%
Takedown defense
76%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.18Δ 1.44 — meaningful gap+1.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Casey KenneyMerab Dvalishvili
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Casey Kenney(8 fights)Merab Dvalishvili(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.9-32.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-105.0105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.22.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Casey Kenney
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights8
Merab Dvalishvili
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights17