Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ariane da Silva won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 16, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCasey O'Neill: Pressure fightervsAriane da Silva: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Casey O'Neill wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Ariane da Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ariane da Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Casey O'Neill
Red Corner
VS
Ariane da Silva
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
28
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Casey O'NeillW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Antonina Shevchenko · Oct 21W
vs Roxanne Modafferi · Feb 22L
vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 23W
vs Luana Santos · Aug 24W
KOvs Gabriella Fernandes · Mar 26Ariane da SilvaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 23W
vs Melissa Gatto · Jul 23L
vs Karine Silva · Apr 24L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Nov 24L
vs Wang Cong · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Casey O'NeillMetricAriane da Silva
7.89
Strikes / min
4.05
5.53
Strikes absorbed / min
4.40
57%
Strike defense
50%
1.40
TDs / 15 min
0.47
70%
Takedown defense
68%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.36Δ 2.71 — meaningful gap-0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Casey O'NeillAriane da Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Casey O'Neill(8 fights)Ariane da Silva(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+5.8-5.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+105.0-105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Casey O'Neill
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights8
Ariane da Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6