Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cat Zingano enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marion Reneau enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marion Reneau has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cat Zingano (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cat ZinganoL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Sep 14L
SUBvs Ronda Rousey · Feb 15L
vs Julianna Pena · Jul 16L
vs Ketlen Vieira · Mar 18L
KOvs Megan Anderson · Dec 18 Marion ReneauL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Feb 18L
vs Yana Kunitskaya · Mar 19L
vs Raquel Pennington · Jun 20L
vs Macy Chiasson · Mar 21L
KOvs Miesha Tate · Jul 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cat ZinganoMetricMarion Reneau
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.94Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cat ZinganoMarion Reneau
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cat Zingano(7 fights)Marion Reneau(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +89.0|Blue -89.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cat ZinganoTargetMarion Reneau
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Cat Zingano edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns2
Control1:13
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:16Control
Round 2Cat Zingano edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns3
Control3:04
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Cat Zingano edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control4:37
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
