Welterweight
3 Rounds
Tom Breese won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 24, 2015·Dublin, Leinster, Ireland, Ireland
Style matchupCathal Pendred: WrestlervsTom Breese: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Cathal Pendred wins(59.1%)
Actual result: Tom Breese wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tom Breese is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Cathal Pendred has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Breese (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Cathal Pendred
Red Corner
VS
Tom Breese
Blue Corner
+240
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-280
(74%)
38
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cathal Pendred
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mike King · Jul 14W
vs Gasan Umalatov · Oct 14W
vs Sean Spencer · Jan 15W
vs Augusto Montano · Jun 15L
vs John Howard · Jul 15Tom Breese
oldest →latest
L
vs Sean Strickland · Jun 16W
KOvs Daniel Kelly · May 18L
KOvs Brendan Allen · Feb 20W
KOvs KB Bhullar · Oct 20L
SUBvs Omari Akhmedov · Jan 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cathal PendredMetricTom Breese
2.49
Strikes / min
3.34
3.01
Strikes absorbed / min
2.81
55%
Strike defense
60%
2.46
TDs / 15 min
0.00
83%
Takedown defense
70%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap+0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cathal PendredTom Breese
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cathal Pendred(6 fights)Tom Breese(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+27.7-27.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Cathal Pendred
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6
Tom Breese
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8