Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raoni Barcelos won · Decision R3
Elo1514
Elo1532
Montel JacksonvsRaoni Barcelos
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Saturday, April 25, 2026Las Vegas, USA
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Montel Jackson wins(61.4%)
Scouting Report
- Raoni Barcelos enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Raoni Barcelos has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Montel Jackson has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Montel Jackson
Raoni Barcelos
—
Vegas Odds
—
1514
1532
34
39
Southpaw
Orthodox
5'10"
5'7"
190.5 cm
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Montel Jackson
oldest →
vs Julio Arce · Nov 22
KOvs Rani Yahya · Apr 23
KOvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 24
vs Daniel Marcos · May 25
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Oct 25
latestRaoni Barcelos
oldest →
vs Kyler Phillips · Aug 23
SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 24
vs Payton Talbott · Jan 25
vs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 25
vs Ricky Simon · Nov 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Montel JacksonMetricRaoni Barcelos
3.02
Strikes / min
4.65
1.40
Strikes absorbed / min
4.24
60%
Strike defense
60%
2.71
TDs / 15 min
2.51
67%
Takedown defense
87%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Montel JacksonRaoni Barcelos
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Montel Jackson
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights13
Raoni Barcelos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15