Lightweight
3 Rounds
Result: Red · S-DEC R3
TF
DC
Tony FergusonvsDanny Castillo
UFC Event · Saturday, August 30, 2014 · Sacramento, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Tony Ferguson wins(53.8%)
Actual result: Tony Ferguson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Tony Ferguson
Red Corner
VS
Danny Castillo
Blue Corner
-265
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
42
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'9"
193.04 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Career Averages (per fight)
33.5
Sig. Strikes
33.5
0.7
Takedowns
2.7
0.5
Sub Attempts
0.2
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Tony Ferguson
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24
Danny Castillo
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights14