Rogerio NogueiravsRyan Bader

UFC Event · Saturday, September 25, 2010 · Indianapolis, Indiana, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Ryan Bader wins(55.1%)

Actual result: Ryan Bader wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Rogerio Nogueira

Red Corner

Ryan Bader

Blue Corner

+160

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-170

(63%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'2"

190.5 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

18.5

Sig. Strikes

30.0

0.5

Takedowns

2.8

0.5

Sub Attempts

0.5

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+16.7-16.7

RedForm ScoreBlue

+1.0-1.0

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-49.049.0

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-50.050.0

Rogerio Nogueira

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights12

Ryan Bader

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights16