Middleweight
3 Rounds
Cezary Oleksiejczuk won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 13, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCesar Almeida: StrikervsCezary Oleksiejczuk: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Cesar Almeida wins(51.6%)
Actual result: Cezary Oleksiejczuk wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cezary Oleksiejczuk has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cezary Oleksiejczuk (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Cesar Almeida
Red Corner
VS
Cezary Oleksiejczuk
Blue Corner
+180
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-215
(68%)
38
Age
26
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'3"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cesar AlmeidaW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Dylan Budka · Apr 24L
vs Roman Kopylov · Jun 24W
vs Ihor Potieria · Oct 24W
KOvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Jan 25Cezary OleksiejczukNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cesar AlmeidaMetricCezary Oleksiejczuk
3.46
Strikes / min
1.99
2.03
Strikes absorbed / min
0.77
46%
Strike defense
47%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
5.77
52%
Takedown defense
100%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.43evenly matched on net striking+1.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cesar AlmeidaCezary Oleksiejczuk
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cesar Almeida(5 fights)Cezary Oleksiejczuk(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+34.8-34.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Cesar Almeida
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5
Cezary Oleksiejczuk
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights1