Middleweight
3 Rounds
Roman Kopylov won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 1, 2024·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupCesar Almeida: StrikervsRoman Kopylov: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Cesar Almeida wins(65.7%)
Actual result: Roman Kopylov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roman Kopylov has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Roman Kopylov (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Cesar Almeida
Red Corner
VS
Roman Kopylov
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
38
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cesar Almeida
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Dylan Budka · Apr 24W
vs Ihor Potieria · Oct 24W
KOvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Jan 25L
vs Cezary Oleksiejczuk · Dec 25Roman KopylovL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Josh Fremd · Sep 23L
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 24W
KOvs Chris Curtis · Jan 25L
vs Paulo Costa · Jul 25L
vs Gregory Rodrigues · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cesar AlmeidaMetricRoman Kopylov
3.46
Strikes / min
4.54
2.03
Strikes absorbed / min
5.08
46%
Strike defense
53%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.12
52%
Takedown defense
88%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.43Δ 1.97 — meaningful gap-0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cesar AlmeidaRoman Kopylov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cesar Almeida(5 fights)Roman Kopylov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-3.83.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Cesar Almeida
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5
Roman Kopylov
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11