Lightweight
3 Rounds
Damien Brown won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 30, 2016·Atlanta, Georgia, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Cesar Arzamendia wins(67.9%)
Actual result: Damien Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Damien Brown enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Damien Brown is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Cesar Arzamendia has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Damien Brown has 53pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Cesar Arzamendia
Red Corner
VS
Damien Brown
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
35
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cesar Arzamendia
oldest →latest
L
vs Polo Reyes · Nov 15Damien BrownL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alan Patrick · Mar 16W
vs Jon Tuck · Nov 16L
KOvs Vinc Pichel · Jun 17L
vs Frank Camacho · Nov 17L
vs Dong Hyun Ma · Feb 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cesar ArzamendiaMetricDamien Brown
5.37
Strikes / min
3.66
5.20
Strikes absorbed / min
4.86
56%
Strike defense
50%
7.32
TDs / 15 min
0.68
0%
Takedown defense
53%
2.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.17Δ 1.37 — meaningful gap-1.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cesar ArzamendiaDamien Brown
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cesar Arzamendia(2 fights)Damien Brown(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.11.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+119.0-119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Cesar Arzamendia
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Damien Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6