Middleweight
3 Rounds
Cezar Ferreira won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 28, 2014·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Cezar Ferreira wins(60.6%)
Actual result: Cezar Ferreira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cezar Ferreira (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Cezar Ferreira
Red Corner
VS
Andrew Craig
Blue Corner
-270
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+248
(29%)
41
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
198.12 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cezar FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Elias Theodorou · Feb 17W
vs Nate Marquardt · Nov 17W
SUBvs Karl Roberson · May 18L
vs Ian Heinisch · Nov 18L
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 19Andrew CraigL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Jul 12L
vs Ronny Markes · Jan 13W
vs Chris Leben · Jul 13L
SUBvs Luke Barnatt · Oct 13L
KOvs Lyman Good · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cezar FerreiraMetricAndrew Craig
1.90
Strikes / min
2.39
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
3.01
53%
Strike defense
50%
2.69
TDs / 15 min
0.53
84%
Takedown defense
72%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54evenly matched on net striking-0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cezar FerreiraAndrew Craig
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cezar Ferreira(10 fights)Andrew Craig(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.5-13.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-148.0148.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Cezar Ferreira
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15
Andrew Craig
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights7