Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ian Heinisch won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 17, 2018·Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina, Argentina
Style matchupCezar Ferreira: WrestlervsIan Heinisch: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Cezar Ferreira wins(55.5%)
Actual result: Ian Heinisch wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cezar Ferreira has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cezar Ferreira (53.5%).
- Cezar Ferreira has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Cezar Ferreira
Red Corner
VS
Ian Heinisch
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
41
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
198.12 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cezar Ferreira
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jack Hermansson · Nov 16L
vs Elias Theodorou · Feb 17W
vs Nate Marquardt · Nov 17W
SUBvs Karl Roberson · May 18L
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 19Ian HeinischL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Derek Brunson · Aug 19L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Dec 19W
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Jun 20L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Feb 21L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jul 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cezar FerreiraMetricIan Heinisch
1.90
Strikes / min
3.25
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
53%
Strike defense
59%
2.69
TDs / 15 min
1.02
84%
Takedown defense
59%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54evenly matched on net striking+0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cezar FerreiraIan Heinisch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cezar Ferreira(10 fights)Ian Heinisch(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+74.7-74.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.848.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Cezar Ferreira
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15
Ian Heinisch
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7