Middleweight
3 Rounds
Sam Alvey won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Sunday, February 22, 2015·Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupCezar Ferreira: WrestlervsSam Alvey: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Sam Alvey wins(51.7%)
Actual result: Sam Alvey wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Alvey enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Sam Alvey is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Cezar Ferreira has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Cezar Ferreira
Red Corner
VS
Sam Alvey
Blue Corner
-340
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
41
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'2"
198.12 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cezar FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Elias Theodorou · Feb 17W
vs Nate Marquardt · Nov 17W
SUBvs Karl Roberson · May 18L
vs Ian Heinisch · Nov 18L
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 19Sam AlveyL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ryan Spann · May 20L
SUBvs Julian Marquez · Apr 21L
vs Wellington Turman · Aug 21L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 22L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cezar FerreiraMetricSam Alvey
1.90
Strikes / min
3.28
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
3.63
53%
Strike defense
52%
2.69
TDs / 15 min
0.06
84%
Takedown defense
82%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54evenly matched on net striking-0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cezar FerreiraSam Alvey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cezar Ferreira(10 fights)Sam Alvey(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+49.1-49.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+132.0-132.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Cezar Ferreira
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15
Sam Alvey
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23