Middleweight
4 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Cezar Ferreira won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 23, 2012·Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Sergio Moraes wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Cezar Ferreira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sergio Moraes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cezar Ferreira (53.5%).
- Cezar Ferreira has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Cezar Ferreira
Red Corner
VS
Sergio Moraes
Blue Corner
-315
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+258
(28%)
41
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
198.12 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cezar FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Elias Theodorou · Feb 17W
vs Nate Marquardt · Nov 17W
SUBvs Karl Roberson · May 18L
vs Ian Heinisch · Nov 18L
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 19Sergio MoraesL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tim Means · Feb 18W
SUBvs Ben Saunders · Sep 18L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Mar 19L
KOvs Warlley Alves · May 19L
KOvs James Krause · Nov 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cezar FerreiraMetricSergio Moraes
1.90
Strikes / min
2.42
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
3.73
53%
Strike defense
59%
2.69
TDs / 15 min
1.20
84%
Takedown defense
75%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54evenly matched on net striking-1.31
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cezar Ferreira(10 fights)Sergio Moraes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Cezar Ferreira
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15
Sergio Moraes
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights13