Middleweight
3 Rounds
Cezar Ferreira won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 3, 2013·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupCezar Ferreira: WrestlervsThiago Santos: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Cezar Ferreira wins(53.9%)
Actual result: Cezar Ferreira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thiago Santos is a KO finisher (79% of wins). Cezar Ferreira has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Cezar Ferreira has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cezar Ferreira (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Cezar Ferreira
Red Corner
VS
Thiago Santos
Blue Corner
-460
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+410
(20%)
41
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
198.12 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cezar FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Elias Theodorou · Feb 17W
vs Nate Marquardt · Nov 17W
SUBvs Karl Roberson · May 18L
vs Ian Heinisch · Nov 18L
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 19Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cezar FerreiraMetricThiago Santos
1.90
Strikes / min
3.72
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.57
53%
Strike defense
53%
2.69
TDs / 15 min
0.88
84%
Takedown defense
65%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap+1.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cezar FerreiraThiago Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cezar Ferreira(10 fights)Thiago Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Cezar Ferreira
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15
Thiago Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24