Featherweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Volkanovski won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 29, 2018·Los Angeles, California, USA, USA
Style matchupChad Mendes: WrestlervsAlexander Volkanovski: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Alexander Volkanovski wins(51.5%)
Actual result: Alexander Volkanovski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chad Mendes is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Alexander Volkanovski has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Chad Mendes has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Alexander Volkanovski has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chad Mendes
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Volkanovski
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
41
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chad Mendes
oldest →latest
L
vs Jose Aldo · Oct 14W
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Apr 15L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 15L
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 15W
KOvs Myles Jury · Jul 18Alexander VolkanovskiW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Yair Rodriguez · Jul 23L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Oct 23L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Feb 24W
vs Diego Lopes · Apr 25W
vs Diego Lopes · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chad MendesMetricAlexander Volkanovski
2.78
Strikes / min
5.99
2.35
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
67%
Strike defense
58%
4.13
TDs / 15 min
1.63
100%
Takedown defense
68%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.43Δ 2.25 — meaningful gap+2.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chad MendesAlexander Volkanovski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chad Mendes(10 fights)Alexander Volkanovski(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-3.53.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Chad Mendes
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14
Alexander Volkanovski
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights18