Featherweight
3 Rounds
Chad Mendes won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 7, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupChad Mendes: WrestlervsCody McKenzie: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Chad Mendes wins(67.9%)
Actual result: Chad Mendes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chad Mendes has 86pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cody McKenzie (52.9%).
- Cody McKenzie has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chad Mendes
Red Corner
VS
Cody McKenzie
Blue Corner
-705
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+570
(15%)
41
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
6'0"
167.64 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chad Mendes
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Apr 15L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 15L
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 15W
KOvs Myles Jury · Jul 18L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Dec 18Cody McKenzie
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Yves Edwards · Jan 11L
SUBvs Vagner Rocha · Sep 11W
SUBvs Marcus LeVesseur · May 12W
vs Leonard Garcia · Apr 13L
vs Sam Stout · Dec 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chad MendesMetricCody McKenzie
2.78
Strikes / min
1.74
2.35
Strikes absorbed / min
2.50
67%
Strike defense
67%
4.13
TDs / 15 min
2.50
100%
Takedown defense
14%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
2.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.43Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap-0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chad MendesCody McKenzie
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chad Mendes(10 fights)Cody McKenzie(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.8-15.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+122.0-122.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Chad Mendes
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14
Cody McKenzie
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7