Featherweight
3 Rounds
Chad Mendes won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 20, 2013·San Jose, California, USA, USA
Style matchupChad Mendes: WrestlervsDarren Elkins: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Chad Mendes wins(72.0%)
Actual result: Chad Mendes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chad Mendes has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Chad Mendes has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Darren Elkins has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chad Mendes
Red Corner
VS
Darren Elkins
Blue Corner
-615
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+510
(16%)
41
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'10"
167.64 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chad Mendes
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Apr 15L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 15L
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 15W
KOvs Myles Jury · Jul 18L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Dec 18Darren Elkins
oldest →latest
W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22W
SUBvs TJ Brown · Oct 23W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chad MendesMetricDarren Elkins
2.78
Strikes / min
3.40
2.35
Strikes absorbed / min
3.34
67%
Strike defense
51%
4.13
TDs / 15 min
2.87
100%
Takedown defense
56%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.43evenly matched on net striking+0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chad MendesDarren Elkins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chad Mendes(10 fights)Darren Elkins(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-29.929.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+92.0-92.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Chad Mendes
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14
Darren Elkins
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights30