Featherweight
3 Rounds
Chad Mendes won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 5, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupChad Mendes: WrestlervsMichihiro Omigawa: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Chad Mendes wins(70.5%)
Actual result: Chad Mendes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chad Mendes has 51pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Chad Mendes
Red Corner
VS
Michihiro Omigawa
Blue Corner
-365
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+305
(25%)
41
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chad Mendes
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Apr 15L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 15L
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 15W
KOvs Myles Jury · Jul 18L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Dec 18Michihiro OmigawaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Darren Elkins · Jun 11W
vs Jason Young · Nov 11L
vs Iuri Alcantara · Jan 12L
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Aug 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chad MendesMetricMichihiro Omigawa
2.78
Strikes / min
2.01
2.35
Strikes absorbed / min
3.06
67%
Strike defense
64%
4.13
TDs / 15 min
1.19
100%
Takedown defense
49%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.43Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap-1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chad MendesMichihiro Omigawa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chad Mendes(10 fights)Michihiro Omigawa(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Chad Mendes
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14
Michihiro Omigawa
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5