Featherweight
3 Rounds
Chad Mendes won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 14, 2013·Sacramento, California, USA, USA
Style matchupChad Mendes: WrestlervsNik Lentz: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Chad Mendes wins(70.9%)
Actual result: Chad Mendes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Chad Mendes has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Chad Mendes has 57pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Chad Mendes
Red Corner
VS
Nik Lentz
Blue Corner
-900
(90%)
Vegas Odds
+600
(14%)
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
167.64 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chad Mendes
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Apr 15L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 15L
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 15W
KOvs Myles Jury · Jul 18L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Dec 18Nik LentzL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chad MendesMetricNik Lentz
2.78
Strikes / min
3.44
2.35
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
67%
Strike defense
50%
4.13
TDs / 15 min
3.30
100%
Takedown defense
43%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.43evenly matched on net striking+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chad MendesNik Lentz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chad Mendes(10 fights)Nik Lentz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+10.4-10.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-105.0105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Chad Mendes
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14
Nik Lentz
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22