Featherweight
5 Rounds
Chad Mendes won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 4, 2015·Fairfax, Virginia, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Chad Mendes wins(68.6%)
Actual result: Chad Mendes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chad Mendes is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Ricardo Lamas has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Chad Mendes has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Chad Mendes has 54pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Ricardo Lamas has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chad Mendes
Red Corner
VS
Ricardo Lamas
Blue Corner
-460
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+365
(22%)
41
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
167.64 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chad Mendes
oldest →latest
L
vs Jose Aldo · Oct 14L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 15L
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 15W
KOvs Myles Jury · Jul 18L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Dec 18Ricardo Lamas
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 17L
vs Mirsad Bektic · Jun 18W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Nov 18L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · Jun 19W
vs Bill Algeo · Aug 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chad MendesMetricRicardo Lamas
2.78
Strikes / min
3.13
2.35
Strikes absorbed / min
2.87
67%
Strike defense
57%
4.13
TDs / 15 min
1.84
100%
Takedown defense
46%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.43evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chad MendesRicardo Lamas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chad Mendes(10 fights)Ricardo Lamas(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.90.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Chad Mendes
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14
Ricardo Lamas
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights17