Featherweight
3 Rounds
Chad Mendes won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, December 14, 2012·Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia, Australia
Style matchupChad Mendes: WrestlervsYaotzin Meza: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Chad Mendes wins(75.7%)
Actual result: Chad Mendes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chad Mendes has 82pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Yaotzin Meza has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chad Mendes
Red Corner
VS
Yaotzin Meza
Blue Corner
-1650
(94%)
Vegas Odds
+1300
(7%)
41
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'9"
167.64 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chad Mendes
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Apr 15L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 15L
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 15W
KOvs Myles Jury · Jul 18L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Dec 18Yaotzin MezaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs John Albert · Jul 13L
vs Sergio Pettis · Jun 14W
vs Damian Stasiak · Apr 15L
vs Sam Sicilia · Jul 15L
vs Arnold Allen · Feb 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chad MendesMetricYaotzin Meza
2.78
Strikes / min
1.43
2.35
Strikes absorbed / min
1.62
67%
Strike defense
64%
4.13
TDs / 15 min
1.06
100%
Takedown defense
18%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.43evenly matched on net striking-0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chad MendesYaotzin Meza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chad Mendes(10 fights)Yaotzin Meza(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.3-31.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.847.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Chad Mendes
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14
Yaotzin Meza
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6