Featherweight
5 Rounds
Chan Sung Jung won · SUB R4
UFC Event·Tuesday, May 15, 2012·Fairfax, Virginia, USA, USA
Style matchupChan Sung Jung: Well-roundedvsDustin Poirier: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Dustin Poirier wins(51.1%)
Actual result: Chan Sung Jung wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dustin Poirier is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Chan Sung Jung has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dustin Poirier (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Chan Sung Jung
Red Corner
VS
Dustin Poirier
Blue Corner
+290
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-350
(78%)
39
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chan Sung JungL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 19L
vs Brian Ortega · Oct 20W
vs Dan Ige · Jun 21L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Apr 22L
KOvs Max Holloway · Aug 23Dustin PoirierL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michael Chandler · Nov 22L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Mar 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chan Sung JungMetricDustin Poirier
3.93
Strikes / min
5.24
4.52
Strikes absorbed / min
4.57
52%
Strike defense
52%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
1.15
72%
Takedown defense
64%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.59Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap+0.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chan Sung JungDustin Poirier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chan Sung Jung(10 fights)Dustin Poirier(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-29.229.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.42.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Chan Sung Jung
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights12
Dustin Poirier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights31