Flyweight
3 Rounds
Charles Johnson won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 14, 2026·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCharles Johnson: Pressure fightervsBruno Silva: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Charles Johnson wins(54.0%)
Actual result: Charles Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charles Johnson has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Johnson (52.9%).
- Bruno Silva has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Charles Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Bruno Silva
Blue Corner
-178
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
35
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'0"
177.8 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles Johnson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Joshua Van · Jul 24W
vs Sumudaerji · Oct 24L
vs Ramazan Temirov · Mar 25W
KOvs Lone'er Kavanagh · Aug 25L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jan 26Bruno Silva
oldest →latest
L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Oct 24L
KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 24L
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 25L
KOvs Joshua Van · Jun 25W
SUBvs HyunSung Park · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles JohnsonMetricBruno Silva
4.77
Strikes / min
3.86
4.02
Strikes absorbed / min
5.35
55%
Strike defense
41%
0.51
TDs / 15 min
0.77
69%
Takedown defense
74%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.75Δ 2.24 — meaningful gap-1.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Charles JohnsonBruno Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Johnson(10 fights)Bruno Silva(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+51.0-51.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Charles Johnson
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights14
Bruno Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights22