Flyweight
3 Rounds
Charles Johnson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 11, 2024·St. Louis, Missouri, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Charles Johnson wins(68.2%)
Actual result: Charles Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charles Johnson has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Johnson (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Charles Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Jake Hadley
Blue Corner
-118
(54%)
Vegas Odds
-102
(50%)
35
Age
29
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles Johnson
oldest →latest
W
vs Sumudaerji · Oct 24L
vs Ramazan Temirov · Mar 25W
KOvs Lone'er Kavanagh · Aug 25L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jan 26W
vs Bruno Silva · Mar 26Jake Hadley
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Carlos Candelario · Nov 22W
KOvs Malcolm Gordon · Mar 23L
vs Cody Durden · Aug 23W
vs Caolan Loughran · Jul 24L
vs Cameron Smotherman · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles JohnsonMetricJake Hadley
4.77
Strikes / min
3.80
4.02
Strikes absorbed / min
4.16
55%
Strike defense
61%
0.51
TDs / 15 min
0.33
69%
Takedown defense
54%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.75Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap-0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Charles JohnsonJake Hadley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Johnson(10 fights)Jake Hadley(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.112.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-182.0182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Charles Johnson
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights14
Jake Hadley
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7