Flyweight
3 Rounds
Charles Johnson won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 23, 2025·Shanghai, Hebei, China, China
Style matchupCharles Johnson: Pressure fightervsLone'er Kavanagh: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Lone'er Kavanagh wins(51.7%)
Actual result: Charles Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lone'er Kavanagh enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Lone'er Kavanagh has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Johnson (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Charles Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Lone'er Kavanagh
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-250
(71%)
35
Age
26
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles Johnson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Joshua Van · Jul 24W
vs Sumudaerji · Oct 24L
vs Ramazan Temirov · Mar 25L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jan 26W
vs Bruno Silva · Mar 26Lone'er KavanaghW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jose Ochoa · Nov 24W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Mar 25W
vs Brandon Moreno · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles JohnsonMetricLone'er Kavanagh
4.77
Strikes / min
4.13
4.02
Strikes absorbed / min
3.49
55%
Strike defense
56%
0.51
TDs / 15 min
1.12
69%
Takedown defense
94%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.75evenly matched on net striking+0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Charles JohnsonLone'er Kavanagh
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Johnson(10 fights)Lone'er Kavanagh(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.212.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Charles Johnson
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights14
Lone'er Kavanagh
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4