Flyweight
3 Rounds
Charles Johnson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 19, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCharles Johnson: Pressure fightervsSumudaerji: Elusive striker
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Charles Johnson wins(58.9%)
Actual result: Charles Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sumudaerji enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Johnson (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Charles Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Sumudaerji
Blue Corner
-305
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
35
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles Johnson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Joshua Van · Jul 24L
vs Ramazan Temirov · Mar 25W
KOvs Lone'er Kavanagh · Aug 25L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jan 26W
vs Bruno Silva · Mar 26SumudaerjiW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Matt Schnell · Jul 22L
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Dec 23W
vs Mitch Raposo · Apr 25W
vs Kevin Borjas · Aug 25W
vs Jesus Aguilar · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles JohnsonMetricSumudaerji
4.77
Strikes / min
4.43
4.02
Strikes absorbed / min
2.35
55%
Strike defense
62%
0.51
TDs / 15 min
0.67
69%
Takedown defense
72%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.75Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap+2.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Charles JohnsonSumudaerji
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Johnson(10 fights)Sumudaerji(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+53.5-53.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-217.0217.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Charles Johnson
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights14
Sumudaerji
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6