Lightweight
3 Rounds
Arman Tsarukyan won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 13, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCharles Oliveira: WrestlervsArman Tsarukyan: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Charles Oliveira wins(60.9%)
Actual result: Arman Tsarukyan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Arman Tsarukyan has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Charles Oliveira
Red Corner
VS
Arman Tsarukyan
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-218
(69%)
36
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'7"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Jun 23W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26Arman TsarukyanW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Jun 22W
vs Damir Ismagulov · Dec 22W
KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jun 23W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Dec 23W
SUBvs Dan Hooker · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles OliveiraMetricArman Tsarukyan
3.23
Strikes / min
3.85
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
1.80
48%
Strike defense
54%
2.29
TDs / 15 min
3.26
54%
Takedown defense
75%
2.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.18Δ 1.87 — meaningful gap+2.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Charles OliveiraArman Tsarukyan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Oliveira(10 fights)Arman Tsarukyan(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+106.8-106.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+175.0-175.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Charles Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights36
Arman Tsarukyan
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11