Featherweight
3 Rounds
Charles Oliveira won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 28, 2012·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Charles Oliveira wins(76.2%)
Actual result: Charles Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charles Oliveira threatens submissions; Eric Wisely has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Charles Oliveira has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Eric Wisely (53.5%).
- Charles Oliveira has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Charles Oliveira
Red Corner
VS
Eric Wisely
Blue Corner
-560
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+475
(17%)
36
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'8"
187.96 cm
Reach
178 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Apr 24W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26Eric Wisely
oldest →latest
L
vs Jason Young · Apr 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles OliveiraMetricEric Wisely
3.23
Strikes / min
1.42
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
2.08
48%
Strike defense
56%
2.29
TDs / 15 min
0.00
54%
Takedown defense
27%
2.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Charles OliveiraEric Wisely
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Oliveira(10 fights)Eric Wisely(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.249.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Charles Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights36
Eric Wisely
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach—
Fights2