Lightweight
3 Rounds
Charles Oliveira won · U-DEC R5
CO
MC
Charles OliveiravsMichael Chandler
UFC Event · Saturday, November 16, 2024New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupCharles Oliveira: WrestlervsMichael Chandler: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Charles Oliveira wins(61.6%)
Actual result: Charles Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Charles Oliveira
Red Corner
VS
Michael Chandler
Blue Corner
-265
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
36
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
187.96 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Jun 23L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Apr 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26Michael ChandlerL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 21L
vs Justin Gaethje · Nov 21W
KOvs Tony Ferguson · May 22L
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Nov 22L
KOvs Paddy Pimblett · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles OliveiraMetricMichael Chandler
3.23
Strikes / min
4.04
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
4.52
48%
Strike defense
43%
2.29
TDs / 15 min
1.96
54%
Takedown defense
61%
2.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Charles OliveiraMichael Chandler
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Oliveira(10 fights)Michael Chandler(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+174.8-174.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-518.0518.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Charles Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights36
Michael Chandler
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7