Lightweight
3 Rounds
Charles Oliveira won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 18, 2019·Rochester, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupCharles Oliveira: WrestlervsNik Lentz: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Charles Oliveira wins(65.4%)
Actual result: Charles Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charles Oliveira has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Charles Oliveira
Red Corner
VS
Nik Lentz
Blue Corner
-420
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+335
(23%)
36
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
187.96 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Apr 24W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26Nik LentzL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs David Teymur · Jun 18W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles OliveiraMetricNik Lentz
3.23
Strikes / min
3.44
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
48%
Strike defense
50%
2.29
TDs / 15 min
3.30
54%
Takedown defense
43%
2.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.18evenly matched on net striking+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Charles OliveiraNik Lentz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Oliveira(10 fights)Nik Lentz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.0-15.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+15.0-15.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Charles Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights36
Nik Lentz
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22