Lightweight
3 Rounds
Paul Felder won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 2, 2017·Detroit, Michigan, USA, USA
Style matchupCharles Oliveira: WrestlervsPaul Felder: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Charles Oliveira wins(52.8%)
Actual result: Paul Felder wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Charles Oliveira has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Charles Oliveira
Red Corner
VS
Paul Felder
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
36
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Apr 24W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26Paul FelderL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Mike Perry · Jul 18W
vs James Vick · Feb 19W
vs Edson Barboza · Sep 19L
vs Dan Hooker · Feb 20L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Nov 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles OliveiraMetricPaul Felder
3.23
Strikes / min
3.70
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
48%
Strike defense
48%
2.29
TDs / 15 min
0.29
54%
Takedown defense
64%
2.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.18evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Charles OliveiraPaul Felder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Oliveira(10 fights)Paul Felder(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-10.810.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+99.0-99.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Charles Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights36
Paul Felder
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15