Featherweight
3 Rounds
Charles Rosa won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, January 17, 2016·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupCharles Rosa: Submission grapplervsKyle Bochniak: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Charles Rosa wins(56.4%)
Actual result: Charles Rosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charles Rosa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kyle Bochniak enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kyle Bochniak has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kyle Bochniak has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Rosa (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Charles Rosa
Red Corner
VS
Kyle Bochniak
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
39
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles RosaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Darrick Minner · Feb 21W
vs Justin Jaynes · Jun 21L
vs Damon Jackson · Oct 21L
vs TJ Brown · Jan 22L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 22Kyle BochniakL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jeremy Kennedy · Jul 17W
vs Brandon Davis · Jan 18L
vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Apr 18L
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Dec 18L
vs Sean Woodson · Oct 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles RosaMetricKyle Bochniak
3.08
Strikes / min
2.63
3.86
Strikes absorbed / min
5.11
47%
Strike defense
58%
1.67
TDs / 15 min
1.14
38%
Takedown defense
62%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.78Δ 1.70 — meaningful gap-2.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Charles RosaKyle Bochniak
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Rosa(10 fights)Kyle Bochniak(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.913.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.948.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
Charles Rosa
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13
Kyle Bochniak
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7