Featherweight
3 Rounds
Charles Rosa won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Friday, October 18, 2019·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupCharles Rosa: Submission grapplervsManny Bermudez: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Charles Rosa wins(50.8%)
Actual result: Charles Rosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charles Rosa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Charles Rosa threatens submissions; Manny Bermudez has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Charles Rosa has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Rosa (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Charles Rosa
Red Corner
VS
Manny Bermudez
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
39
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles RosaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Darrick Minner · Feb 21W
vs Justin Jaynes · Jun 21L
vs Damon Jackson · Oct 21L
vs TJ Brown · Jan 22L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 22Manny Bermudez
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Albert Morales · Feb 18W
SUBvs Davey Grant · Jul 18W
SUBvs Benito Lopez · Feb 19L
vs Casey Kenney · Aug 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles RosaMetricManny Bermudez
3.08
Strikes / min
2.92
3.86
Strikes absorbed / min
2.68
47%
Strike defense
46%
1.67
TDs / 15 min
3.06
38%
Takedown defense
0%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
3.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.78Δ 1.02 — meaningful gap+0.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Charles RosaManny Bermudez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Rosa(10 fights)Manny Bermudez(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-40.040.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+861.0-861.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Charles Rosa
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13
Manny Bermudez
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5