Featherweight
3 Rounds
Charles Rosa won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Sunday, January 18, 2015·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Sean Soriano wins(51.9%)
Actual result: Charles Rosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charles Rosa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Sean Soriano enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Charles Rosa threatens submissions; Sean Soriano has lost 60% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Rosa (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Charles Rosa
Red Corner
VS
Sean Soriano
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
39
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles RosaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Darrick Minner · Feb 21W
vs Justin Jaynes · Jun 21L
vs Damon Jackson · Oct 21L
vs TJ Brown · Jan 22L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 22Sean SorianoL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Tatsuya Kawajiri · Jan 14L
vs Chas Skelly · Sep 14L
SUBvs Christos Giagos · May 21L
vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · Nov 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles RosaMetricSean Soriano
3.08
Strikes / min
3.18
3.86
Strikes absorbed / min
2.14
47%
Strike defense
56%
1.67
TDs / 15 min
1.33
38%
Takedown defense
52%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.78Δ 1.82 — meaningful gap+1.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Charles RosaSean Soriano
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Rosa(10 fights)Sean Soriano(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.5-17.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-29.029.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Charles Rosa
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13
Sean Soriano
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5