Welterweight
3 Rounds
Charlie Brenneman won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 22, 2011·Killeen, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Charlie Brenneman wins(61.7%)
Actual result: Charlie Brenneman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charlie Brenneman enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Charlie Brenneman has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Charlie Brenneman has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Amilcar Alves (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Charlie Brenneman
Red Corner
VS
Amilcar Alves
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
45
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'0"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charlie BrennemanL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Erick Silva · Jun 12L
KOvs Kyle Noke · Sep 12L
SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Jan 14L
KOvs Danny Castillo · Apr 14L
SUBvs Leandro Silva · Nov 14Amilcar Alves
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Mike Pierce · Aug 10Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charlie BrennemanMetricAmilcar Alves
1.52
Strikes / min
0.50
1.55
Strikes absorbed / min
2.02
46%
Strike defense
30%
4.23
TDs / 15 min
0.00
72%
Takedown defense
53%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.03Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap-1.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Charlie BrennemanAmilcar Alves
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charlie Brenneman(10 fights)Amilcar Alves(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.5-17.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Charlie Brenneman
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Amilcar Alves
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach—
Fights2