Welterweight
3 Rounds
Charlie Brenneman won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, January 20, 2012·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupCharlie Brenneman: WrestlervsDaniel Roberts: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Charlie Brenneman wins(68.8%)
Actual result: Charlie Brenneman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charlie Brenneman enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Roberts threatens submissions; Charlie Brenneman has lost 43% of fights by sub.
- Charlie Brenneman has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Roberts (53.5%).
- Daniel Roberts has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Charlie Brenneman
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Roberts
Blue Corner
-360
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+325
(24%)
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charlie BrennemanL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Erick Silva · Jun 12L
KOvs Kyle Noke · Sep 12L
SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Jan 14L
KOvs Danny Castillo · Apr 14L
SUBvs Leandro Silva · Nov 14Daniel RobertsL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Forrest Petz · Jul 10W
SUBvs Mike Guymon · Oct 10W
SUBvs Greg Soto · Jan 11L
vs Claude Patrick · Apr 11L
vs Rich Attonito · Jun 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charlie BrennemanMetricDaniel Roberts
1.52
Strikes / min
0.73
1.55
Strikes absorbed / min
2.27
46%
Strike defense
46%
4.23
TDs / 15 min
2.46
72%
Takedown defense
40%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
2.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.03Δ 1.51 — meaningful gap-1.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Charlie BrennemanDaniel Roberts
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charlie Brenneman(10 fights)Daniel Roberts(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.6-18.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-97.097.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Charlie Brenneman
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Daniel Roberts
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7