Welterweight
3 Rounds
Charlie Brenneman won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, June 26, 2011·Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Style matchupCharlie Brenneman: WrestlervsRick Story: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Charlie Brenneman wins(54.0%)
Actual result: Charlie Brenneman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charlie Brenneman enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Rick Story has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rick Story (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Charlie Brenneman
Red Corner
VS
Rick Story
Blue Corner
+415
(19%)
Vegas Odds
-470
(82%)
45
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charlie BrennemanL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Erick Silva · Jun 12L
KOvs Kyle Noke · Sep 12L
SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Jan 14L
KOvs Danny Castillo · Apr 14L
SUBvs Leandro Silva · Nov 14Rick Story
oldest →latest
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Mar 14W
SUBvs Leonardo Mafra · Jul 14W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Oct 14W
vs Tarec Saffiedine · May 16L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Aug 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charlie BrennemanMetricRick Story
1.52
Strikes / min
3.80
1.55
Strikes absorbed / min
2.17
46%
Strike defense
62%
4.23
TDs / 15 min
2.53
72%
Takedown defense
63%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.03Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap+1.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Charlie BrennemanRick Story
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charlie Brenneman(10 fights)Rick Story(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-52.752.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+126.0-126.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Charlie Brenneman
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Rick Story
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights16