Featherweight
3 Rounds
Chas Skelly won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 4, 2017·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupChas Skelly: Submission grapplervsChris Gruetzemacher: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Chas Skelly wins(53.6%)
Actual result: Chas Skelly wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Gruetzemacher has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Chas Skelly has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Chas Skelly
Red Corner
VS
Chris Gruetzemacher
Blue Corner
-350
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+290
(26%)
41
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chas SkellyW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Maximo Blanco · Sep 16L
KOvs Jason Knight · May 17L
vs Bobby Moffett · Nov 18W
vs Jordan Griffin · Sep 19W
KOvs Mark Striegl · Feb 22Chris Gruetzemacher
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Davi Ramos · Dec 17W
KOvs Joe Lauzon · Apr 18L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 20W
vs Rafa Garcia · Jul 21L
SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Dec 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chas SkellyMetricChris Gruetzemacher
2.01
Strikes / min
6.18
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
4.96
49%
Strike defense
52%
1.74
TDs / 15 min
0.21
39%
Takedown defense
65%
2.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.20Δ 2.42 — meaningful gap+1.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Chas SkellyChris Gruetzemacher
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chas Skelly(10 fights)Chris Gruetzemacher(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.6-29.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-281.0281.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Chas Skelly
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights12
Chris Gruetzemacher
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights7